Pirelli Shocks Monaco with Bold Strategy Predictions

Pirelli’s predictions for the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix have caused a stir around the Formula 1 paddock, as drivers face a two-stop requirement not typical for this event. Racing on the storied Monte Carlo circuit from May 23 to May 25, teams have had to prepare for this unusual regulation that means every driver must use three different sets and at least two different compounds of tyres during the race.

This change was introduced to add more action to a race that often features limited overtaking and conservative pit strategy due to low tyre degradation. For a deeper understanding of tyre degradation in Formula 1, you can explore this FIA technical guide.

Tyre allocation for the race is especially varied across leading teams. The McLaren duo, Lando Norris and Oscar Piastri, each have two new sets of hard tyres and one new set of medium tyres available, positioning them to likely opt for a Medium-Hard-Hard approach.

Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc, who narrowly missed out on pole position with a 1:10.063 lap, has both a new hard and medium set, along with a used set of medium tyres that could mix up his race plan. Lewis Hamilton, also at Ferrari, starts with a new and a used set of hard tyres, combined with a used medium, after qualifying fourth but serving a penalty that dropped him to seventh.

Max Verstappen of Red Bull is in a unique situation. Starting from fourth on the grid, Verstappen holds one new hard and one new medium set, making it likely that he will need to incorporate the soft compound at some stage. For more insights into Red Bull’s race strategies, check out this MIT Motorsports analysis.

Pirelli’s allowance would permit a driver to start on softs, pit as early as lap one for mediums, then pit again shortly after for hards. This level of flexibility offers teams extra options to counter their mid-race positions.

During qualifying, Norris captured his first Monaco pole position with a time of 1:09.954, leading a close field. Piastri secured third, giving McLaren a strong shot at strategic control for the race.

Leclerc and Hamilton, starting second and seventh respectively, are focused on using smart pit timing to gain track advantage. Red Bull endured a difficult Saturday, with Verstappen’s car facing grip issues and Yuki Tsunoda starting twelfth due to rear-end struggles.

Midfield teams also look to capitalize on the enforced two-stop rule. Esteban Ocon at Haas qualified eighth while Isack Hadjar’s sixth place marked a personal best, aided by precise tyre management. For more on tyre management in motorsports, visit SAE International.

Williams and Aston Martin are banking on strategic calls, as Alex Albon and Fernando Alonso start tenth and seventh, each eyeing a strong result if the race sees early pit stops or a safety car.

Monaco’s new rules around mandatory tyre use and frequent pit activity promise a refreshing tactical battle on one of F1’s most historic tracks. With the softest Pirelli C6 compound proving quick on Saturday, and every driver needing to juggle at least two compounds, the door is open for brave decisions and surprise climbs through the field. For historical context on the Monaco Grand Prix, refer to the Monaco Grand Prix official archive.

The 2025 Monaco Grand Prix, set for over three hours of racing, is shaping up to be among the most unpredictable races in recent memory. Teams, armed with varied tyre sets and sharpened strategies, are preparing for a tight, eventful contest where track position, timing, and pit crew performance could decide victory or defeat.

Fans are anticipating a tense and strategic battle as Monaco’s tight streets add extra pressure to every decision.

John Martinez

John Martinez delivers real-time NASCAR Cup Series and Truck Series news, from live race updates to pit-lane strategy analysis. A graduate of the University of Northwestern Ohio’s Motorsports Technology program, he breaks down rule changes, driver tactics, and championship points with crystal-clear reporting.